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Horse Racing Handicapping Lesson - Older Horses May Be More Reliable Or, Youthfu...
/2008-07-10/
Horse racing handicapping is wide of lifelessons if we pay attention. It is nigh more than exactly dissipated onhorse races and wagering strategies. Watching Curlin win theStephen Foster yesterday was a treat, yet though I accept to accommodate Ibet on Barcola, Grasshopper, and Einstein (you may recollect them asthe triad horses direct buttocks Curlin as he romped crosswise thefinish line).At 2 to 5 odds and forthcoming off a layoff and the emphasize ofshipping endorse from the big slipstream in Dubai, it looked equal a goodbetting opportunity. early horses that accept competed in the bigraces and shipped endorse from Dubai accept not fared well. But Curlindemonstrated that he is not one of peg early horses and handledthe slipstream well. approximately masses had agleam that in Curlin's early slipstream onthe Churchill Downs rise he had not fared considerably (the 2007Kentucky Derby). But that was so and this is now, that agency alot in sawhorse racing handicapping, yet though we use pastperformance to speculation what a sawhorse leave do in today's race.The background for the Stephen Foster and Curlin's restitution to U.S.racing was interchangeable to Big Brown's recent travail at Belmont Park. Hewas a prohibitive favorite, starting from the one post, and lookedmuch the best, exactly equal Big Brown. The difference, however, wasthat Curlin is an elder horse. When I am handicapping sawhorse racesfor triad yr olds I pay particular care to horses that did wellas two yr olds and are now starting their triad yr oldcampaign. A lot can materialize during that maturing appendage and allhorses do not maturate at the equal rate. Two yr old stars arenotorious for decent triad yr old flops and approximately horses arelate bloomers, not reach their stride, so to speak, until theyare three, or four, or yet quintet age old.When I see a sawhorse loss from its foursome yr old crusade to itsfive yr old crusade I am less concerned with contagious a dramaticleap in ability. patch a example may be made for quintet yr oldgeldings by approximately handicappers, I haven't base any majuscule horseracing dissipated opportunities so far.The dispute between a horse's two yr old races and itsthree yr old races may be immense patch the differences accept atendency to yet out as they get elder and so slow decline.My advice is to be real cautious in races where a two yr oldstar is starting his or her triad yr old campaign. I cogitate it isalso condom to say that younger horses may be a small more erraticbecause they are oft facing a new situation, in a yearned orshorter distance, dissimilar surface, or endure conditions. The oldpros, and yet though Curlin is exactly four, I'd accept to say he isstarting to bet equal an old pro, accept seen it all ahead andusually can grip things considerably no affair what you thro at them. Sofor consistence in your sawhorse racing handicapping I'd notify you tolook for wagering strategies and opportunities with the olderhorses beginning and bet less on the vernal horses unless you distrust ayoung sawhorse that is maturing and nigh to piddle a spectacular leaping inability.
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