The pursuit is a identical childlike approach, but I am putting it out here to attest hardly how important it is to use a methodical approach, a arrangement if you will, for sporting horses and handicapping sawbuck races. Many multitude expend hours poring complete a racing plan or performing with complicated package to find the achiever of the rush or races they signify to play. The gainsay of finding a achiever in this alchemistic sportsman of handicapping can be fun and entertaining, but let me let you in on a footling secret. patch it is important to ingest fun patch performing the races, it is hardly as important to pee a gain or at least intermit tied so you can give to observe on performing the races.
So with the gain weight in mind, and it should ever be somewhere in your mind, tied if neatly tucked gone in the hind patch you're meddlesome having fun, let's tone at a slimly dissimilar way of finding the winner. Here is how you find the very achiever of the race. shortly subsequently the rush is over, tone at the suddenly demarcation of multitude who are cashing tickets on the race. The achiever is somewhere in the line. Notice that I didn't say all the multitude who were cashing tickets were winners? Want to see why? If you are a professional handicapper or gambler, you already see why, don't you?
The rationality all the multitude cashing tickets aren't winners is because nigh of them gone too often for their bets or didn't care their money wisely. Now please indicate this carefully, and opine nigh what I am writing. The achiever is the one who makes a gain off his or her bet by finding profitable bets. Most professional handicappers don't tone for winners, they tone for dear bets, and there is a humans of difference. patch many multitude are dear at picking winners, the pros are dear at picking winners that pay adequate so that in the farseeing run, they are profitable bets. In former words, professional handicappers are dear at sporting horses and handicapping sawbuck races.
The use of the pursuit exercise, sawbuck racing system, is to get you cerebration in cost of the odds and merits of apiece sawbuck in the race. Please try it on theme a few times and ingest fun with it. This is not meant to be a big money maker, but hardly a way to pop the flagellated of "money handicapping." I counsel you to use it on races with elderly horses with plenteousness of starts, initiative races should be avoided for this exercise.
Before we go any farther, let's deduct 20%, the intermediate trail takeout, or vig, from 100 so we end up with 80.
Let's pop with the size of the field. split 80 by the size of the subject to find what apiece component bequeath be worth. For instance, if there are 8 horses in the race, 80 shared by 8 equals 10. Now exchange the solvent to percentages, so 10 is 10%. apiece component is now meriting 10%. We'll shout it a "unit."
Now let's leaning the factors...
1. Class
find the category sawbuck in the rush by one of the two pursuit methods,
a. if the sawbuck has had at leas 5 races for the year, so split the horse's aggregate profits for the yr by the count of races it has run.
b. if the sawbuck hasn't had quintuplet races for the flow year, so split its aggregate net by aggregate count of starts.
The sawbuck with the highest intermediate profits per pop is the category horse.
2.Consistency
find body by diving the aggregate count of starts by the count of wins.
3. Jockey
find the outdo cheat by his or her fetching percentage
4. Trainer
find the outdo trainer by his or her fetching percentage
5 Speed
If hurrying ratings are available, the highest hurrying evaluation within the endure 60 days is the outdo or, if hurrying ratings aren't available, the fastest metre at the outdistance and rise (6f on dirt, etc.)
6. endure speed
highest hurrying evaluation or fastest metre in endure race.
Now go done your leaning of runners and subsequently deciding the above factors for apiece runner, delegate percentages as follows...
1. apiece component is meriting one unit so the sawbuck with the highest category earns 10%. The like is dependable for apiece of the former factors. Therefore, it is conceivable for a sawbuck who has all the above factors to gain 80%, but identical rarefied that any sawbuck would condition for all factors.
Now let's verbalise nigh money and bonny bets. Once you ingest assigned a share to apiece horse, you bequeath see that nigh ingest a higher share than others. It is metre to exchange peg percentages into bonny bets or odds.
Odds are dictated by converting the share into a fraction and so comparing it to the postpone below. A sawbuck with 50% for immediacy (what a lot of multitude would see a surely thing) would be 1/2. That way the sawbuck would be likely to win half the time. So look at the postpone we see that a bet that would pay more than $4.00 (for every $2 bet on the horse) would be a profitable bet.
percentages bonny odds
80% 2-5
70% 3-5
60% 4-5
50% 1-1
40% 8-5
30% 2-1
20% 4-1
10% 9-1
A sawbuck that had 30% would be about 1/3.33 (round to the highest solid count so 3.33 becomes 3) pregnant it would win nigh a tertiary of the time. look at the postpone we see a sawbuck that can win a tertiary of the metre (30%) is meriting a bet if it pays more than $6 for every $2 bet on it.
The succeeding footfall is to view the odds and furze there are two transactions or less leftfield on the clock, site a bet on a sawbuck simply if it shows it bequeath indicate a gain if it wins.
Now here is a tip for sporting on horses. Most pros won't withdraw a suddenly cost on a sawbuck no thing how dear it looks. I personally advocate you never site a bet on any sawbuck that is passing off at less than 2-1. farseeing see has shown me that it hardly isn't profitable disdain what figures on theme show. As we all know, hardly because something looks dear on paper, it doesn't needs signify it bequeath go in very life.
Try this footling arrangement out for fun and so use the like near with a more precise arrangement for handicapping sawbuck races and you bequeath shortly be a dependable winner.
About the Author:
Learn how an insider handicaps sawbuck races by visiting Bill's site at
http://williewins.homestead.com (Horse Racing Handicapping with Willie's). To see the systems Bill uses, go to
http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore2.html (Bill's Handicapping Store) Bill Peterson has been in sawbuck racing for 50 years. "Horse Racing is in my blood."